The head-to-head counts 2 recorded meetings since 2025: 0 to Kocaelispor, 1 to Rizespor, 1 drawn, 1-3 on aggregate. Most recently 2026, 0-2 in Süper Lig. The live ratings are 1531 and 1541, giving 44.8% / 26.1% / 29.1%.
The rating gap itself is 10 points, which is narrow by the model's standards. Between them, the away side holds the higher rating. The xG line reads 1.19 to 1.02. Scorelines above 8%: 4. Outcomes are scattered: top of the list is 1-1 at 13.3%. Kocaelispor carries the largest share, 44.8%. On the Elo curve, expected shares run 57.8% to 42.2%. A decisive result carries 73.9% against 26.1% for the draw. With 44 and 400 rated matches apiece, both numbers are on solid ground. Versus the 1500 seed: +31 and +41. The leading outcome clears the second by 15.7 points. It ended 0-0. Spread across the three results is 18.7 points. In absolute terms: Kocaelispor 0.67/0.77, Rizespor 0.98/1.19 on attack and defence. One edge each: scoring to Rizespor (0.98 v 0.67), conceding to Kocaelispor (0.77 v 1.19). Rounded, that is 1-1. Ratings here are the model's current values, updated after full time.
Source: our elo-poisson-v1 model, run across the complete result record. Not betting guidance.
Match Report
Before the match
Kocaelispor: two wins and three defeats over five games; six goals scored, six conceded. Latest: a 2-1 win away to Alanyaspor on 23 October.
Kocaelispor visited Alanyaspor on 23 October (Süper Lig) and won 2-1; their goals totalled two, compared with one conceded. Göztepe travelled to face Kocaelispor (Süper Lig) on 18 October. For Kocaelispor, the score was 1-2: one goal scored, two allowed. 1-2 was Kocaelispor's result against Beşiktaş on 11 October (Süper Lig), playing away from home; Kocaelispor lost, with one scored to two conceded. The 19 September fixture (Süper Lig) paired Kocaelispor with Gaziantep FK. Kocaelispor won 2-0 at home, netting two goals while conceding zero. Playing away from home against Galatasaray (Süper Lig), Kocaelispor finished 0-1 on 13 September. Their score comprised zero goals, against one from the opposition.
Rizespor came into the game with one win, one draw and three defeats from their last five outings, scoring eight goals and conceding 11. On 26 October, Rizespor recorded a 4-3 defeat hosting Trabzonspor.
Trabzonspor travelled to face Rizespor (Süper Lig) on 26 October. For Rizespor, the score was 3-4: three goals scored, four allowed. 1-2 was Rizespor's result against Çorum FK on 16 October (Süper Lig), playing away from home; Rizespor lost, with one scored to two conceded. The 10 October fixture (Süper Lig) paired Rizespor with Fenerbahçe. Rizespor lost 0-3 at home, netting zero goals while conceding three. Playing away from home against Göztepe (Süper Lig), Rizespor finished 2-2 on 20 September. Their score comprised two goals, against two from the opposition. 12 September: Rizespor won 2-0 against Eyüpspor away from home in Süper Lig, scoring two goals and allowing zero.
Earlier results between these sides included a 2-0 home win for Rizespor on 20 February and a 1-1 draw at Kocaelispor on 21 September 2025.
After the match
Kocaelispor and Rizespor could not be separated in a goalless draw on 31 October 2026. 7 players were booked, among them M. Susoho (16'), U. Yildiz (30'), G. Borrelli (44'), M. Sagnan (70'), Show (80') and V. Mihaila (89'). The card tally for Kocaelispor was four yellow cards. five changes were recorded for Kocaelispor. The card tally for Rizespor was three yellow cards. Rizespor made five changes. A clean sheet for Kocaelispor. Rizespor finished with a clean sheet.