28 meetings sit in the record, first in 2012, aggregate 46-57. The latest was 2026, 1-2 in Süper Lig. Currently 1570 against 1702 — a 27.7% / 25.7% / 46.7% split.
132 points separate the two ratings — a wide margin. The single-scoreline output is 1-1. A 19.0-point margin separates the top two outcomes. These are live ratings — this fixture is already reflected in them. Raw profiles are 0.99 and 0.99 against 1.35 and 0.87. Result on the day: 2-2. From the 1500 baseline they currently stand at +70 and +202. Top of the distribution: Beşiktaş, 46.7%. Expected shares 40.5% against 59.5% on Elo. Outcomes are scattered: top of the list is 1-1 at 10.6%. 3 scorelines clear 8% individually. The xG line reads 1.29 to 1.80. The three results cover 21.0 points. Behind them are 504 and 569 rated matches. Both components point the same way, toward Beşiktaş: 1.35 to 0.99 going forward, 0.87 to 0.99 going back. Between them, the away side holds the higher rating. The model gives 74.4% to someone winning.
Our elo-poisson-v1 rating generated these numbers. They are analysis and not advice to bet.
Match Report
Before the match
eight goals for and five against accompanied Kasımpaşa's three wins, one draw and one defeat across five outings. A 1-0 win away to Eyüpspor (24 October) was their most recent result; their biggest win in that spell was 4-1 at home to Samsunspor on 18 October.
Süper Lig, 24 October brought an away meeting with Eyüpspor; Kasımpaşa won 1-0, a return of one goal scored and zero conceded. Kasımpaşa hosted Samsunspor on 18 October (Süper Lig) and won 4-1; their goals totalled four, compared with one conceded. Galatasaray hosted Kasımpaşa (Süper Lig) on 9 October. For Kasımpaşa, the score was 1-3: one goal scored, three allowed. 0-0 was Kasımpaşa's result against Konyaspor on 18 September (Süper Lig), playing at home; Kasımpaşa drew, with zero scored to zero conceded. The 13 September fixture (Süper Lig) paired Kasımpaşa with Gençlerbirliği S.K.. Kasımpaşa won 2-1 away from home, netting two goals while conceding one.
Beşiktaş: three wins and two defeats over five games; nine goals scored, six conceded. Başakşehir were their latest opponents, at home on 26 October: a 2-0 win; their biggest win in that spell was 3-0 at home to Erzurumspor FK on 11 September.
2-0 was Beşiktaş's result against Başakşehir on 26 October (Süper Lig), playing at home; Beşiktaş won, with two scored to zero conceded. The 19 October fixture (Süper Lig) paired Beşiktaş with Trabzonspor. Beşiktaş lost 0-2 away from home, netting zero goals while conceding two. Playing at home against Kocaelispor (Süper Lig), Beşiktaş finished 2-1 on 11 October. Their score comprised two goals, against one from the opposition. 20 September: Beşiktaş lost 2-3 against Amed away from home in Süper Lig, scoring two goals and allowing three. Against Erzurumspor FK in Süper Lig, Beşiktaş scored three and conceded zero on 11 September; the at home result was 3-0.
The last two recorded meetings were a 2-1 home win for Beşiktaş on 19 March and a 1-1 draw at Kasımpaşa on 26 October 2025.
After the match
Kasımpaşa and Beşiktaş drew 2-2 on 1 November 2026. L. Trossard opened the scoring in the 28th minute for Beşiktaş, set up by R. Yilmaz, to make it 1-0. D. Vlahovic added to the tally 47 minutes into the game for Beşiktaş, set up by M. Murillo, to make it 2-0. C. Winck pulled one back 60 minutes into the game for Kasımpaşa, set up by H. Hajradinovic, to make it 1-2. M. Rafferty levelled it late on, in the 87th minute for Kasımpaşa, set up by K. Demirbay, to make it 2-2. E. Belozoglu (6') and A. Arous (79') were booked. two yellow cards went to Kasımpaşa. The substitution total for Kasımpaşa was four. The substitution total for Beşiktaş was five.