11 meetings sit in the record, first in 2021, aggregate 8-11. The latest was 2026, 0-0 in Major League Soccer. Set beside that history, the ratings stand at 1692 and 1611 — 81 points — for a 58.4% / 22.9% / 18.7% split.
Versus the 1500 seed: +192 and +111. The higher rating expects 69.9% of the points, the lower 30.1%. Ratings sit 81 apart. Scorelines above 8%: 4. Raw profiles are 1.41 and 0.57 against 1.49 and 1.00. The ratings draw on 240 and 534 rated matches, enough to be treated as settled. The leading outcome clears the second by 35.5 points. The higher rating belongs to the home side. A decisive result carries 77.1% against 22.9% for the draw. Flat distribution — 2-1 tops it at just 9.8%. Honours split: 1.49 forward for Philadelphia Union, 0.57 back for Nashville SC. Rounding the goal expectations gives a predicted 2-1. Spread across the three results is 39.7 points. Final score: 0-0. xG: 2.10 to 1.15. Top of the distribution: Nashville SC, 58.4%. Our pre-match read, logged before the game: 54.0% / 24.0% / 22.0%. That one did not come off.
Our elo-poisson-v1 rating generated these numbers. They are analysis and not advice to bet.
Match Report
Before the match
Nashville SC were unbeaten in their last five games, with four wins and one draw, scoring 13 goals and conceding two, keeping three clean sheets. On 24 October, Nashville SC recorded a 2-0 win visiting CF Montreal; their biggest win in that spell was 4-0 at home to Sporting Kansas City on 15 October.
Major League Soccer, 24 October brought an away meeting with CF Montreal; Nashville SC won 2-0, a return of two goals scored and zero conceded. Nashville SC visited San Jose Earthquakes on 18 October (Major League Soccer) and drew 1-1; their goals totalled one, compared with one conceded. Sporting Kansas City travelled to face Nashville SC (Major League Soccer) on 15 October. For Nashville SC, the score was 4-0: four goals scored, zero allowed. 4-1 was Nashville SC's result against Austin on 11 October (Major League Soccer), playing away from home; Nashville SC won, with four scored to one conceded. The 27 September fixture (Major League Soccer) paired Nashville SC with Toronto FC. Nashville SC won 2-0 at home, netting two goals while conceding zero.
Philadelphia Union's previous five results comprised three wins, one draw and one defeat. Their goal totals were 12 scored and 8 conceded. New England Revolution were their latest opponents, at home on 24 October: a 2-1 defeat.
Playing at home against New England Revolution (Major League Soccer), Philadelphia Union finished 1-2 on 24 October. Their score comprised one goal, against two from the opposition. 17 October: Philadelphia Union drew 2-2 against Charlotte at home in Major League Soccer, scoring two goals and allowing two. Against Chicago Fire in Major League Soccer, Philadelphia Union scored three and conceded one on 15 October; the away from home result was 3-1. Philadelphia Union's at home game on 10 October (Major League Soccer) ended 2-1 against Real Salt Lake, with two goals for and one against. On 26 September, Orlando City SC faced Philadelphia Union in Major League Soccer: Philadelphia Union won 4-2 at home, having scored four and conceded two.
The last two recorded meetings were a 0-0 draw at Philadelphia Union on 2 May and a 1-0 home win for Nashville SC on 6 July 2025.
After the match
Nashville SC and Philadelphia Union could not be separated in a goalless draw at Geodis Park, Nashville on 29 October 2026. Edvard Sandvik Tagseth (22'), Jovan Lukic (40') and Danley Jean Jacques (92') were booked. Nashville SC are unbeaten in the latest 8 matches of their recorded form in the 2026 Major League Soccer. one yellow card went to Nashville SC. Nashville SC: five substitutions. two yellow cards went to Philadelphia Union. Philadelphia Union: four substitutions. Nashville SC kept their opponents scoreless. Philadelphia Union kept their opponents scoreless.