Across 33 recorded meetings back to 2012 the split is 16-7-10 in Portland Timbers's favour on wins, 50-41 on goals. The last was 2026, 0-2 in Major League Soccer. History aside, the live ratings of 1465 and 1467 drive a 46.2% / 25.8% / 28.1% distribution.
Flat distribution — 1-1 tops it at just 9.5%. A decisive result carries 74.3% against 25.8% for the draw. The four component numbers read 1.20, 1.32, 0.92, 1.01. Goal expectation splits 1.80 to 1.64. Portland Timbers holds a 18.1-point edge on the next outcome. Portland Timbers carries the largest share, 46.2%. A 2-point difference on the rating scale. The match finished 0-0. Its rounded call is 1-1. The two halves pull apart — Portland Timbers better going forward at 1.20, Colorado Rapids tighter at the back on 1.01. Recorded ahead of kickoff: 45.0% / 26.0% / 29.0%. That one did not come off. Ratings quoted are live and already include this result. The higher rating belongs to the away side. Their expected shares of the points are 59.0% and 41.0%. Outcomes span 20.4 points. 2 of the listed scorelines reach 8% or better.
Numbers from our own elo-poisson-v1 model, not a third-party stat feed. Analysis only.
Match Report
Before the match
Portland Timbers arrived without a win in their last five outings, recording one draw and four defeats, scoring five goals and conceding 11. On 15 October, Portland Timbers recorded a 2-0 defeat visiting Los Angeles Galaxy.
Portland Timbers's away from home game on 15 October (Major League Soccer) ended 0-2 against Los Angeles Galaxy, with zero goals for and two against. On 11 October, Sporting Kansas City faced Portland Timbers in Major League Soccer: Portland Timbers drew 3-3 away from home, having scored three and conceded three. Major League Soccer, 27 September brought an away meeting with San Jose Earthquakes; Portland Timbers lost 1-3, a return of one goal scored and three conceded. Portland Timbers hosted Atlanta United FC on 20 September (Major League Soccer) and lost 0-1; their goals totalled zero, compared with one conceded. FC Dallas hosted Portland Timbers (Major League Soccer) on 13 September. For Portland Timbers, the score was 1-2: one goal scored, two allowed.
Colorado Rapids: one win, three draws and one defeat over five games; nine goals scored, nine conceded. Latest: a 2-2 draw at home to Minnesota United FC on 15 October.
Colorado Rapids hosted Minnesota United FC on 15 October (Major League Soccer) and drew 2-2; their goals totalled two, compared with two conceded. San Jose Earthquakes travelled to face Colorado Rapids (Major League Soccer) on 11 October. For Colorado Rapids, the score was 1-1: one goal scored, one allowed. 2-3 was Colorado Rapids's result against Los Angeles Galaxy on 27 September (Major League Soccer), playing away from home; Colorado Rapids lost, with two scored to three conceded. The 20 September fixture (Major League Soccer) paired Colorado Rapids with Seattle Sounders. Colorado Rapids drew 3-3 at home, netting three goals while conceding three. Playing at home against CF Montreal (Major League Soccer), Colorado Rapids finished 1-0 on 13 September. Their score comprised one goal, against zero from the opposition.
The last two recorded meetings were a 2-0 home win for Colorado Rapids on 28 February and a 2-1 home win for Portland Timbers on 29 May 2025.
After the match
Portland Timbers and Colorado Rapids could not be separated in a goalless draw at Providence Park, Portland, Oregon on 18 October 2026. Rob Holding (13'), Kristoffer Velde (43'), Morgan Whittaker (43'), Kosi Thompson (47') and Matthew Elliott Wells (50') were booked. Portland Timbers picked up one yellow card. The substitution total for Portland Timbers was five. Colorado Rapids picked up four yellow cards. Colorado Rapids: four substitutions. Portland Timbers conceded no goals. Colorado Rapids kept their opponents scoreless.