On file: 37 previous meetings dating to 2012, 69-69 on goals. Last time: 2026, 1-1 in Major League Soccer. Today those sides rate 1470 and 1468, 2 apart, which resolves to 46.8% / 25.6% / 27.6%.
The higher rating belongs to the home side. Attack and defence disagree about who is favoured: 1.27 to 1.04 says Portland Timbers, 1.39 to 1.40 says Los Angeles Galaxy. The single-scoreline output is 2-2. Outcomes are scattered: top of the list is 2-2 at 7.0%. Los Angeles Galaxy leads the distribution by 19.2 points over Portland Timbers. xG: 2.16 to 2.38. Against the 1500 rating every team starts from, they sit at -30 and -32. Attack/defence pairs: 1.04/1.39 and 1.27/1.40. Ratings shown are post-fixture — one current value is kept per team. 2 points of rating separation. Win-or-lose totals 74.4%; the draw takes the rest. Result on the day: 2-0. The forecast we stored before the match was 55.6% / 23.6% / 20.8%. That call matched the result. Both figures rest on decent samples, 531 and 535 matches. The three results cover 21.2 points. The model's preferred outcome is Los Angeles Galaxy at 46.8%.
All of the above is elo-poisson-v1 output built from complete results. Not betting advice.
Match Report
Before the match
Los Angeles Galaxy came into the game with two wins, one draw and two defeats from their last five outings, scoring nine goals and conceding 14. On 11 October, Los Angeles Galaxy recorded a 6-2 defeat visiting St. Louis City.
Major League Soccer, 11 October brought an away meeting with St. Louis City; Los Angeles Galaxy lost 2-6, a return of two goals scored and six conceded. Los Angeles Galaxy hosted Colorado Rapids on 27 September (Major League Soccer) and won 3-2; their goals totalled three, compared with two conceded. Minnesota United FC hosted Los Angeles Galaxy (Major League Soccer) on 20 September. For Los Angeles Galaxy, the score was 3-2: three goals scored, two allowed. 1-1 was Los Angeles Galaxy's result against Seattle Sounders on 13 September (Major League Soccer), playing at home; Los Angeles Galaxy drew, with one scored to one conceded. The 10 September fixture (Major League Soccer) paired Los Angeles Galaxy with Vancouver Whitecaps. Los Angeles Galaxy lost 0-3 away from home, netting zero goals while conceding three.
Portland Timbers's previous five results comprised two draws and three defeats. Their goal totals were 7 scored and 11 conceded, with no wins. Sporting Kansas City were their latest opponents, away on 11 October: a 3-3 draw.
Playing away from home against Sporting Kansas City (Major League Soccer), Portland Timbers finished 3-3 on 11 October. Their score comprised three goals, against three from the opposition. 27 September: Portland Timbers lost 1-3 against San Jose Earthquakes away from home in Major League Soccer, scoring one goal and allowing three. Against Atlanta United FC in Major League Soccer, Portland Timbers scored zero and conceded one on 20 September; the at home result was 0-1. Portland Timbers's away from home game on 13 September (Major League Soccer) ended 1-2 against FC Dallas, with one goal for and two against. On 10 September, St. Louis City faced Portland Timbers in Major League Soccer: Portland Timbers drew 2-2 at home, having scored two and conceded two.
Earlier results between these sides included a 1-1 draw at Portland Timbers on 22 March and a 4-2 away win for Portland Timbers on 28 April 2025.
After the match
Los Angeles Galaxy beat Portland Timbers 2-0 at Dignity Health Sports Park, Los Angeles on 15 October 2026. Marco Reus opened the scoring in the 17th minute for Los Angeles Galaxy, set up by Robert Taylor, to make it 1-0. Justin Haak added to the tally 80 minutes into the game for Los Angeles Galaxy, set up by Marco Reus, to make it 2-0. Pablo Ruiz (29'), Sergi Roberto (31'), Jímer Fory (38'), Justin Haak (47'), Kristoffer Velde (62') and David Da Costa (82') were booked. Los Angeles Galaxy picked up three yellow cards. The substitution total for Los Angeles Galaxy was five. The card tally for Portland Timbers was three yellow cards. Portland Timbers made five changes. Los Angeles Galaxy kept their opponents scoreless.