Read this with the sample size in view: Sabah FK's rating comes from 1 rated match. The output — 1484 against 1395, splitting 59.5% / 22.6% / 17.9% — is what the model holds, but the confidence behind it is thinner than the decimals suggest.
77.4% of the probability sits on a decisive outcome. Both components point the same way, toward Sabah FK: 0.94 to 0.84 going forward, 1.12 to 1.38 going back. Goal expectation splits 1.93 to 1.26. Attack/defence pairs: 0.94/1.12 and 0.84/1.38. Only 1 rated match back the Sabah FK figure. It ended 2-0. Sabah FK carries the largest share, 59.5%. Spread across the three results is 41.6 points. Note the ratings are live, not frozen at kickoff. The two ratings differ by 89 points. The higher rating belongs to the home side. 2 scorelines clear 8% individually. Before kickoff our model had this at 59.5% / 22.6% / 17.9%. Sabah FK's expected share on the Elo curve comes to 70.8%. From the 1500 baseline they currently stand at -16 and -105. As a single number the model says 1-1. Spread thin across outcomes, 1-1 highest at 10.0%.
Produced in-house by elo-poisson-v1 over full match history. Analysis, not tips.
Match Report
Before the match
zero goals for and four against accompanied Sabah FK's one defeat across one outing. A 4-0 defeat away to Man United (10 September) was their most recent result.
Champions League, 10 September brought an away meeting with Man United; Sabah FK lost 0-4, a return of zero goals scored and four conceded.
Sabah FK: 34th, zero points, one match in the calculated Champions League standings at kickoff.
Slavia Praha: one draw and four defeats over five games; five goals scored, 14 conceded, without a win. Latest: a 3-2 defeat at home to RC Lens on 10 September.
Slavia Praha hosted RC Lens on 10 September (Champions League) and lost 2-3; their goals totalled two, compared with three conceded. Paphos FC hosted Slavia Praha (Champions League) on 28 January. For Slavia Praha, the score was 1-4: one goal scored, four allowed. 2-4 was Slavia Praha's result against Barça on 21 January (Champions League), playing at home; Slavia Praha lost, with two scored to four conceded. The 9 December 2025 fixture (Champions League) paired Slavia Praha with Tottenham. Slavia Praha lost 0-3 away from home, netting zero goals while conceding three. Playing at home against Athletic (Champions League), Slavia Praha finished 0-0 on 25 November 2025. Their score comprised zero goals, against zero from the opposition.
zero points in one match put Slavia Praha 21st in the pre-match results-based Champions League standings.
After the match
Sabah FK beat Slavia Praha 2-0 on 13 October 2026. Kaheem Parris opened the scoring 49 minutes into the game for Sabah FK, set up by Ivan Lepinjica, to make it 1-0. Joy-Lance Mickels added to the tally late on, in the 88th minute for Sabah FK, set up by Patrick Orphé Mbina, to make it 2-0. Veljko Simić (14'), Steve Solvet (66'), Emmanuel Ayaosi (67'), Akim Zedadka (74') and Oskar Kubiak (77') were booked. On our current Elo ratings the gap is a modest one: Sabah FK are 89 points stronger than Slavia Praha. Sabah FK's victory matches the model's current-rating preference: 59.5% for a win in this pairing. Slavia Praha's current recorded form ends with 5 consecutive defeats. Sabah FK: three yellow cards. four changes were recorded for Sabah FK. Patrick Orphé Mbina entered for Sabah FK at 73 minutes and later provided an assist. The card tally for Slavia Praha was two yellow cards. Slavia Praha made five changes. Oskar Kubiak, on in the 75th minute, was booked. A clean sheet for Sabah FK.