Match Report
Before the match
Arouca's previous five results comprised two wins, two draws and one defeat. Their goal totals were 5 scored and 4 conceded, keeping three clean sheets. Alverca were their latest opponents, away on 24 October: a 1-0 win.
Arouca visited Alverca on 24 October (Primeira Liga) and won 1-0; their goals totalled one, compared with zero conceded. Amadora travelled to face Arouca (Primeira Liga) on 11 October. For Arouca, the score was 1-0: one goal scored, zero allowed. 2-2 was Arouca's result against Sporting CP on 19 September (Primeira Liga), playing away from home; Arouca drew, with two scored to two conceded. The 13 September fixture (Primeira Liga) paired Arouca with Santa Clara. Arouca lost 1-2 at home, netting one goal while conceding two. Playing away from home against Estoril Praia (Primeira Liga), Arouca finished 0-0 on 7 September. Their score comprised zero goals, against zero from the opposition.
Before kickoff, Primeira Liga's results-based standings placed Arouca 5th after nine matches and 17 points.
CD Nacional came into the game with one win and four defeats from their last five outings, scoring four goals and conceding 12. A 1-0 win at home to Braga (25 October) was their most recent result.
25 October: CD Nacional won 1-0 against Braga at home in Primeira Liga, scoring one goal and allowing zero. Against Rio Ave in Primeira Liga, CD Nacional scored two and conceded three on 11 October; the away from home result was 2-3. CD Nacional's at home game on 19 September (Primeira Liga) ended 0-4 against Famalicão, with zero goals for and four against. On 12 September, Alverca faced CD Nacional in Primeira Liga: CD Nacional lost 1-3 at home, having scored one and conceded three. Primeira Liga, 5 September brought an away meeting with Sporting CP; CD Nacional lost 0-2, a return of zero goals scored and two conceded.
CD Nacional stood 15th in the results-based Primeira Liga table before kickoff, with seven points from nine matches.
Previous meetings in our records: a 3-0 home win for Arouca on 21 February and a 2-1 away win for Arouca on 20 September 2025.
After the match
Arouca edged past CD Nacional 1-0 on 1 November 2026. The rating gap is a clear one: our current Elo ratings have Arouca 154 points stronger than CD Nacional. Arouca's victory matches the model's current-rating preference: 67.8% for a win in this pairing. Arouca are unbeaten in the latest 4 matches of their recorded form in the 2026/27 Primeira Liga.