Match Report
Before the match
CD Nacional arrived without a win in their last five outings, recording five defeats, scoring five goals and conceding 15. A 3-2 defeat away to Rio Ave (11 October) was their most recent result.
The 11 October fixture (Primeira Liga) paired CD Nacional with Rio Ave. CD Nacional lost 2-3 away from home, netting two goals while conceding three. Playing at home against Famalicão (Primeira Liga), CD Nacional finished 0-4 on 19 September. Their score comprised zero goals, against four from the opposition. 12 September: CD Nacional lost 1-3 against Alverca at home in Primeira Liga, scoring one goal and allowing three. Against Sporting CP in Primeira Liga, CD Nacional scored zero and conceded two on 5 September; the away from home result was 0-2. CD Nacional's at home game on 30 August (Primeira Liga) ended 2-3 against Amadora, with two goals for and three against.
CD Nacional stood 17th in the results-based Primeira Liga table before kickoff, with four points from eight matches.
Braga came into the game with one win, one draw and three defeats from their last five outings, scoring four goals and conceding seven. A 2-1 defeat at home to Gil Vicente (19 October) was their most recent result.
Braga's at home game on 19 October (Primeira Liga) ended 1-2 against Gil Vicente, with one goal for and two against. On 9 October, Sporting CP faced Braga in Primeira Liga: Braga lost 1-3 at home, having scored one and conceded three. Primeira Liga, 20 September brought an away meeting with Santa Clara; Braga drew 0-0, a return of zero goals scored and zero conceded. Braga hosted Estoril Praia on 14 September (Primeira Liga) and won 1-0; their goals totalled one, compared with zero conceded. Amadora hosted Braga (Primeira Liga) on 10 September. For Braga, the score was 1-2: one goal scored, two allowed.
Braga stood 9th in the results-based Primeira Liga table before kickoff, with 11 points from eight matches.
Previous meetings in our records: a 2-1 away win for Braga on 28 February and a 1-0 away win for CD Nacional on 28 September 2025.
After the match
CD Nacional edged past Braga 1-0 on 25 October 2026. Miguel Baeza opened the scoring in the 19th minute for CD Nacional, set up by Min-Kyu Song, to make it 1-0. Francisco Gonçalves (33'), Sergio Barcia (79'), Stavros Gavriel (86') and Gustaf Lagerbielke (90') were booked. Our current Elo ratings make Braga clearly the stronger side, by 158 rating points over CD Nacional, even though it was CD Nacional who won this one. On current ratings our Elo-Poisson model gives CD Nacional only a 24.5% chance in this pairing, the least likely of the three outcomes. CD Nacional: two yellow cards. CD Nacional made five changes. two yellow cards went to Braga. The substitution total for Braga was five. CD Nacional finished with a clean sheet.