On record: 14 meetings from 2019, 12-35 on aggregate, 2 drawn. Their most recent was 2026, 1-2 in Primeira Liga. Currently 1519 against 1721 — a 19.6% / 23.2% / 57.2% split.
202 points of rating separation. Expected goals 0.97-1.72. The scoreline spread is even — 0-1 on 11.7% leads, but only just. These figures stand as of today; the model updates them at full time. The match finished 1-2. By expected share of the points: 31.2% and 68.8%. The single-scoreline output is 0-1. Higher rating: the away side. Top of the distribution: SL Benfica, 57.2%. The model gives 76.8% to someone winning. A 37.6-point range top to bottom. Against the 1500 start, the ratings run +19 and +221. Attack/defence pairs: 0.91/0.73 and 1.74/0.72. 4 scorelines clear 8% individually. With 43 and 53 rated matches apiece, both numbers are on solid ground. The leading outcome clears the second by 34.0 points. Both components point the same way, toward SL Benfica: 1.74 to 0.91 going forward, 0.72 to 0.73 going back.
Computed by elo-poisson-v1 from the whole corpus rather than republished. Analytical only.
Match Report
Before the match
Santa Clara: three wins and two draws over five games; eight goals scored, two conceded, keeping three clean sheets, unbeaten. Casa Pia were their latest opponents, away on 10 October: a 1-0 win; their biggest win in that spell was 4-0 at home to Rio Ave on 6 September.
Playing away from home against Casa Pia (Primeira Liga), Santa Clara finished 1-0 on 10 October. Their score comprised one goal, against zero from the opposition. 20 September: Santa Clara drew 0-0 against Braga at home in Primeira Liga, scoring zero goals and allowing zero. Against Arouca in Primeira Liga, Santa Clara scored two and conceded one on 13 September; the away from home result was 2-1. Santa Clara's at home game on 6 September (Primeira Liga) ended 4-0 against Rio Ave, with four goals for and zero against. On 29 August, Alverca faced Santa Clara in Primeira Liga: Santa Clara drew 1-1 away from home, having scored one and conceded one.
Before kickoff, Primeira Liga's results-based standings placed Santa Clara 4th after eight matches and 18 points.
SL Benfica's previous five results comprised four wins and one defeat. Their goal totals were 13 scored and 4 conceded, keeping three clean sheets. Latest: a 2-0 win at home to Vitória SC on 11 October; their biggest win in that spell was 4-0 away to Moreirense on 9 September.
SL Benfica hosted Vitória SC on 11 October (Primeira Liga) and won 2-0; their goals totalled two, compared with zero conceded. Porto hosted SL Benfica (Primeira Liga) on 20 September. For SL Benfica, the score was 1-3: one goal scored, three allowed. 3-1 was SL Benfica's result against Gil Vicente on 13 September (Primeira Liga), playing at home; SL Benfica won, with three scored to one conceded. The 9 September fixture (Primeira Liga) paired SL Benfica with Moreirense. SL Benfica won 4-0 away from home, netting four goals while conceding zero. Playing away from home against Marítimo (Primeira Liga), SL Benfica finished 3-0 on 5 September. Their score comprised three goals, against zero from the opposition.
19 points in eight matches put SL Benfica 2nd in the pre-match results-based Primeira Liga standings.
The last two recorded meetings were a 2-1 away win for SL Benfica on 13 February and a 1-1 draw at SL Benfica on 12 September 2025.
After the match
SL Benfica edged past Santa Clara 2-1 on 26 October 2026. Luis Fernando opened the scoring from the penalty spot in the 32nd minute for Santa Clara to make it 1-0. Vangelis Pavlidis levelled it 62 minutes into the game for SL Benfica, set up by Gianluca Prestianni, to make it 1-1. Gianluca Prestianni put SL Benfica in front 68 minutes into the game to make it 2-1. 9 players were booked, among them Alexander Bah (8'), Emanuel Fernandes (36'), Pedro Pacheco (40'), Vangelis Pavlidis (59'), Fredrik Aursnes (74') and Samuel Dahl (88'). SL Benfica: 57.2% to win this pairing in the model on current ratings; the match ended in their favour. Santa Clara picked up four yellow cards. Santa Clara: four substitutions. After coming on for Santa Clara in minute 75, Vasconcelos was booked. SL Benfica: five yellow cards. five changes were recorded for SL Benfica. Jhon Durán, on in the 82nd minute, was booked. The scoring record shows one lead change. After trailing, SL Benfica secured the win.