Match Report
Before the match
Schalke came into the game with one win, two draws and two defeats from their last five outings, scoring four goals and conceding six, failing to score in three of those games. On 11 October, Schalke recorded a 2-1 defeat visiting Freiburg.
The 11 October fixture (Bundesliga) paired Schalke with Freiburg. Schalke lost 1-2 away from home, netting one goal while conceding two. Playing at home against Elversberg (Bundesliga), Schalke finished 0-0 on 20 September. Their score comprised zero goals, against zero from the opposition. 11 September: Schalke won 3-1 against Union Berlin away from home in Bundesliga, scoring three goals and allowing one. Against Bayern in Bundesliga, Schalke scored zero and conceded zero on 5 September; the at home result was 0-0. Schalke's away from home game on 30 August (Bundesliga) ended 0-3 against Augsburg, with zero goals for and three against.
Schalke: 14th, five points, five matches in the calculated Bundesliga standings at kickoff.
Mainz came into the game with two wins, one draw and two defeats from their last five outings, scoring 13 goals and conceding ten. A 4-3 defeat at home to Leverkusen (10 October) was their most recent result; their biggest win in that spell was 5-0 away to HSV on 6 September.
Leverkusen travelled to face Mainz (Bundesliga) on 10 October. For Mainz, the score was 3-4: three goals scored, four allowed. 4-3 was Mainz's result against M'gladbach on 19 September (Bundesliga), playing away from home; Mainz won, with four scored to three conceded. The 12 September fixture (Bundesliga) paired Mainz with Frankfurt. Mainz lost 1-3 at home, netting one goal while conceding three. Playing away from home against HSV (Bundesliga), Mainz finished 5-0 on 6 September. Their score comprised five goals, against zero from the opposition. 29 August: Mainz drew 0-0 against SC Paderborn at home in Bundesliga, scoring zero goals and allowing zero.
Mainz: 9th, seven points, five matches in the calculated Bundesliga standings at kickoff.
The teams' recorded encounters ended in a 3-2 away win for Schalke on 5 May 2023 and a 1-0 home win for Schalke on 9 November 2022.
After the match
Mainz edged past Schalke 1-0 on 17 October 2026. On current ratings our Elo-Poisson model gives Mainz only a 27.3% chance in this pairing, less than one in three.