Prior record: 6-7-12 across 25 since 2010. Most recent 2026, 2-0 in La Liga. Set beside that history, the ratings stand at 1454 and 1480 — 26 points — for a 42.3% / 26.6% / 31.1% split.
26 points of rating separation. Its point estimate is 1-1. Higher rating: the away side. Attack/defence pairs: 1.06/1.28 and 0.97/1.11. Expected goals 1.76-1.68. 3 of the listed scorelines reach 8% or better. Top of the distribution: Levante, 42.3%. Ratings update at full time; these are the post-match figures. Someone wins 73.4% of the time by this model. Versus the 1500 seed: -46 and -20. Outcomes are scattered: top of the list is 1-1 at 9.5%. Our pre-match read, logged before the game: 46.4% / 25.7% / 27.8%. That one did not come off. The match finished 3-3. Outcomes span 15.7 points. Both figures rest on decent samples, 45 and 46 matches. A 11.2-point margin separates the top two outcomes. By expected share of the points: 55.6% and 44.4%. The edge is split: Levante scores at the higher rate (1.06 to 0.97), Sevilla FC concedes at the lower (1.11 to 1.28).
Our own elo-poisson-v1 figures — analytical, not advisory.
Match Report
Before the match
Levante's previous five results comprised one win, two draws and two defeats. Their goal totals were 8 scored and 9 conceded. Latest: a 3-1 defeat away to Villarreal on 20 September; their biggest win in that spell was 5-2 at home to Real Betis on 29 August.
Against Villarreal in La Liga, Levante scored one and conceded three on 20 September; the away from home result was 1-3. Levante's at home game on 13 September (La Liga) ended 2-4 against Barça, with two goals for and four against. On 6 September, Málaga faced Levante in La Liga: Levante drew 0-0 away from home, having scored zero and conceded zero. La Liga, 29 August brought a home meeting with Real Betis; Levante won 5-2, a return of five goals scored and two conceded. Levante visited Osasuna on 24 August (La Liga) and drew 0-0; their goals totalled zero, compared with zero conceded.
Before kickoff, La Liga's results-based standings placed Levante 18th after six matches and five points.
Sevilla FC came into the game with two wins, one draw and two defeats from their last five outings, scoring five goals and conceding seven. On 19 September, Sevilla FC recorded a 3-1 defeat hosting Barça.
19 September: Sevilla FC lost 1-3 against Barça at home in La Liga, scoring one goal and allowing three. Against Deportivo in La Liga, Sevilla FC scored one and conceded zero on 16 September; the away from home result was 1-0. Sevilla FC's at home game on 11 September (La Liga) ended 1-0 against Valencia, with one goal for and zero against. On 6 September, Espanyol faced Sevilla FC in La Liga: Sevilla FC drew 1-1 away from home, having scored one and conceded one. La Liga, 29 August brought a home meeting with Atleti; Sevilla FC lost 1-3, a return of one goal scored and three conceded.
Sevilla FC stood 5th in the results-based La Liga table before kickoff, with 13 points from seven matches.
Previous meetings in our records: a 2-0 home win for Levante on 23 April and a 3-0 away win for Levante on 4 January.
After the match
Levante and Sevilla FC drew 3-3 on 12 October 2026. Robbie Ure opened the scoring inside the first 13 minutes for Sevilla FC to make it 1-0. Félix Correia added to the tally 54 minutes into the game for Sevilla FC, set up by Robbie Ure, to make it 2-0. Iván Romero pulled one back 57 minutes into the game for Levante, set up by Brugui, to make it 1-2. Adrián de la Fuente levelled it in the 92nd minute for Levante to make it 2-2. Sevilla FC regained the lead through Isaac in the 95th minute, set up by Youssouf Fofana, to make it 3-2. With the 6th goal, Levante drew level through Ifeanyi Ndukwe in the 100th minute to make it 3-3. Isaac (90') was sent off. 8 players were booked, among them Adrián de la Fuente (39'), Félix Correia (48'), Castrin (63'), Luís García (66'), Dani Requena (76') and Alfonso González (84'). 3 gols came after the 80th minute. two yellow cards went to Levante. The substitution total for Levante was five. After coming on for Levante in minute 68, Dani Requena was booked. Sevilla FC picked up six yellow cards and one red card. The substitution total for Sevilla FC was four. Alfonso González entered for Sevilla FC at 68 minutes and later was booked. After coming on for Sevilla FC in minute 68, Isaac scored in minute 95 and was booked and was sent off.