On file: 14 previous meetings dating to 2018, 10-28 on goals. Last time: 2026, 0-2 in Championship. History aside, the live ratings of 1338 and 1526 drive a 21.1% / 23.7% / 55.2% distribution.
These are live ratings — this fixture is already reflected in them. Higher rating: the away side. Both ratings rest on a reasonable base — 59 and 59 rated matches respectively. Spread across the three results is 34.1 points. Reduced to one result that is 0-1. Result on the day: 1-1. The higher-rated side expects 67.0% of the points; the other side 33.0%. The four component numbers read 0.69, 1.40, 0.97, 0.79. Most likely single result is West Brom on 55.2%. West Brom holds a 31.5-point edge on the next outcome. Versus the 1500 seed: -162 and +26. Outcomes are scattered: top of the list is 0-1 at 13.0%. Someone wins 76.3% of the time by this model. Goal expectation splits 0.82 to 1.83. A 188-point difference on the rating scale. Neither component contradicts the other: West Brom leads 0.97-0.69 forward and 0.79-1.40 back. 4 of the listed scorelines reach 8% or better.
From our elo-poisson-v1 model. Analysis only, not tips.
Match Report
Before the match
Preston NE arrived without a win in their last five outings, recording one draw and four defeats, scoring three goals and conceding 12, failing to score in three of those games. A 4-1 defeat away to Wrexham (17 October) was their most recent result.
Championship, 17 October brought an away meeting with Wrexham; Preston NE lost 1-4, a return of one goal scored and four conceded. Preston NE visited Birmingham on 13 October (Championship) and lost 0-4; their goals totalled zero, compared with four conceded. Millwall travelled to face Preston NE (Championship) on 10 October. For Preston NE, the score was 0-1: zero goals scored, one allowed. 2-2 was Preston NE's result against QPR on 19 September (Championship), playing away from home; Preston NE drew, with two scored to two conceded. The 12 September fixture (Championship) paired Preston NE with Lincoln City. Preston NE lost 0-1 at home, netting zero goals while conceding one.
Preston NE: 24th, four points, 11 matches in the calculated Championship standings at kickoff.
West Brom: two wins, one draw and two defeats over five games; six goals scored, six conceded. Blackburn were their latest opponents, at home on 17 October: a 3-2 win.
West Brom hosted Blackburn on 17 October (Championship) and won 3-2; their goals totalled three, compared with two conceded. Wrexham hosted West Brom (Championship) on 13 October. For West Brom, the score was 2-1: two goals scored, one allowed. 0-1 was West Brom's result against Birmingham on 10 October (Championship), playing at home; West Brom lost, with zero scored to one conceded. The 20 September fixture (Championship) paired West Brom with Wolverhampton. West Brom lost 0-1 away from home, netting zero goals while conceding one. Playing at home against QPR (Championship), West Brom finished 1-1 on 12 September. Their score comprised one goal, against one from the opposition.
Before kickoff, Championship's results-based standings placed West Brom 6th after 11 matches and 20 points.
The teams' recorded encounters ended in a 2-0 away win for West Brom on 18 April and a 2-1 home win for West Brom on 18 October 2025.
After the match
Preston NE and West Brom drew 1-1 on 24 October 2026. Andrew Hughes opened the scoring 78 minutes into the game for Preston NE, set up by Léo Leroy, to make it 1-0. Aune Heggebø levelled it late on, in the 82nd minute for West Brom to make it 1-1. The rating gap is a clear one: our current Elo ratings have West Brom 188 points stronger than Preston NE. West Brom are unbeaten in the latest 4 matches of their recorded form in the 2026/27 Championship. The substitution total for Preston NE was three. West Brom made four changes. Aune Heggebø scored in minute 82 following entry for West Brom in the 60th minute.