On record: 7 meetings from 2013, 8-14 on aggregate, 2 drawn. Their most recent was 2022, 2-3 in FA Cup. Set beside that history, the ratings stand at 1575 and 1526 — 49 points — for a 54.0% / 24.0% / 22.1% split.
Both ratings rest on a reasonable base — 55 and 44 rated matches respectively. 5 scorelines clear 8% individually. First to second is a 30.0-point step, Hull City over the draw. Relative to the 1500 seed that every rating begins at: +75 and +26. Final score: 2-2. Our pre-match read, logged before the game: 55.6% / 23.6% / 20.8%. The match did not follow it. Hull City's expected share on the Elo curve comes to 65.8%. Someone wins 76.1% of the time by this model. Higher rating: the home side. Raw profiles are 0.99 and 0.84 against 0.98 and 0.96. Most likely single result is Hull City on 54.0%. The xG line reads 1.41 to 1.12. Outcomes are scattered: top of the list is 1-1 at 12.6%. Hull City holds both halves of the profile — 0.99 against 0.98 for scoring, 0.84 against 0.96 for conceding, where the lower number is the better one.
Derived from elo-poisson-v1 on full history — published as analysis, not as tips.
Match Report
Before the match
Hull City: two wins, two draws and one defeat over five games; six goals scored, four conceded, keeping three clean sheets. Latest: a 2-1 defeat away to Newcastle on 19 September.
Against Newcastle in Premier League, Hull City scored one and conceded two on 19 September; the away from home result was 1-2. Hull City's away from home game on 12 September (Premier League) ended 2-2 against Chelsea, with two goals for and two against. On 5 September, Aston Villa faced Hull City in Premier League: Hull City drew 0-0 at home, having scored zero and conceded zero. Premier League, 29 August brought an away meeting with Coventry City; Hull City won 1-0, a return of one goal scored and zero conceded. Hull City hosted Man United on 22 August (Premier League) and won 2-0; their goals totalled two, compared with zero conceded.
Before kickoff, Premier League's results-based standings placed Hull City 10th after five matches and eight points.
Everton were unbeaten in their last five games, with two wins and three draws, scoring six goals and conceding three, keeping three clean sheets. A 1-0 win at home to Ipswich Town (19 September) was their most recent result.
Premier League, 19 September brought a home meeting with Ipswich Town; Everton won 1-0, a return of one goal scored and zero conceded. Everton visited Tottenham on 12 September (Premier League) and drew 0-0; their goals totalled zero, compared with zero conceded. Man United travelled to face Everton (Premier League) on 6 September. For Everton, the score was 2-2: two goals scored, two allowed. 1-1 was Everton's result against Bournemouth on 29 August (Premier League), playing away from home; Everton drew, with one scored to one conceded. The 22 August fixture (Premier League) paired Everton with Crystal Palace. Everton won 2-0 at home, netting two goals while conceding zero.
Everton: 8th, nine points, five matches in the calculated Premier League standings at kickoff.
The last two recorded meetings were a 3-2 away win for Everton on 8 January 2022 and a 4-0 home win for Everton on 18 March 2017.
After the match
Hull City and Everton drew 2-2 on 11 October 2026. Joe Gelhardt opened the scoring 48 minutes into the game for Hull City, set up by Sorba Thomas, to make it 1-0. Kiernan Dewsbury Hall levelled it 55 minutes into the game for Everton, set up by Ainsley Maitland-Niles, to make it 1-1. Thierno Barry put Everton in front 68 minutes into the game, set up by Kiernan Dewsbury Hall, to make it 2-1. With the 4th goal, Hull City drew level through Mohamed Belloumi 74 minutes into the game, set up by Elliot Stroud, to make it 2-2. Matt Crooks (13') and Oliver McBurnie (21') were booked. Every goal came after the interval. Everton are unbeaten in the latest 6 matches of their recorded form. Hull City picked up two yellow cards. Hull City: five substitutions. After coming on for Hull City in minute 64, Elliot Stroud provided an assist. Mohamed Belloumi scored in minute 74 following entry for Hull City in the 64th minute. five changes were recorded for Everton. The scoring record shows one lead change.