On record: 12 meetings from 2016, 11-14 on aggregate, 2 drawn. Their most recent was 2026, 2-2 in Eredivisie. Today those sides rate 1460 and 1417, 43 apart, which resolves to 52.9% / 24.2% / 22.9%.
By expected share of the points: 65.1% and 34.9%. Point estimate: 2-1. In absolute terms: Go Ahead 1.15/1.11, Sparta 0.85/1.38 on attack and defence. Final score: 3-3. A 30.0-point range top to bottom. Against the 1500 start, the ratings run -40 and -83. Flat distribution — 2-1 tops it at just 9.4%. Sample sizes behind the two numbers are 34 and 34 matches. A decisive result carries 75.8% against 24.2% for the draw. Scorelines above 8%: 2. Most likely single result is Go Ahead on 52.9%. Both components point the same way, toward Go Ahead: 1.15 to 0.85 going forward, 1.11 to 1.38 going back. On the rating scale the distance between them is moderate, at 43 points. Go Ahead sits 28.7 points above the next most likely result. These are live ratings — this fixture is already reflected in them. The home side is rated higher. Goal expectation splits 2.34 to 1.27.
Our elo-poisson-v1 rating generated these numbers. They are analysis and not advice to bet.
Match Report
Before the match
Go Ahead: one win, three draws and one defeat over five games; ten goals scored, 11 conceded. Latest: a 1-1 draw away to NEC on 20 September.
Playing away from home against NEC (Eredivisie), Go Ahead finished 1-1 on 20 September. Their score comprised one goal, against one from the opposition. 12 September: Go Ahead drew 1-1 against Groningen at home in Eredivisie, scoring one goal and allowing one. Against Utrecht in Eredivisie, Go Ahead scored three and conceded three on 8 September; the away from home result was 3-3. Go Ahead's away from home game on 29 August (Eredivisie) ended 2-5 against AZ, with two goals for and five against. On 23 August, Den Haag faced Go Ahead in Eredivisie: Go Ahead won 3-1 at home, having scored three and conceded one.
ten points in seven matches put Go Ahead 9th in the pre-match results-based Eredivisie standings.
Sparta's previous five results comprised two draws and three defeats. Their goal totals were 7 scored and 15 conceded, with no wins. Latest: a 4-0 defeat at home to Heerenveen on 19 September.
Sparta hosted Heerenveen on 19 September (Eredivisie) and lost 0-4; their goals totalled zero, compared with four conceded. PSV hosted Sparta (Eredivisie) on 13 September. For Sparta, the score was 1-4: one goal scored, four allowed. 2-2 was Sparta's result against Zwolle on 4 September (Eredivisie), playing at home; Sparta drew, with two scored to two conceded. The 29 August fixture (Eredivisie) paired Sparta with Excelsior. Sparta lost 1-2 away from home, netting one goal while conceding two. Playing at home against Utrecht (Eredivisie), Sparta finished 3-3 on 22 August. Their score comprised three goals, against three from the opposition.
Before kickoff, Eredivisie's results-based standings placed Sparta 12th after seven matches and five points.
Previous meetings in our records: a 2-2 draw at Sparta on 3 May and a 3-0 away win for Sparta on 23 August 2025.
After the match
Go Ahead and Sparta drew 3-3 on 10 October 2026. Milan Zonneveld opened the scoring in the 23rd minute for Sparta, set up by Isaac Babadi, to make it 1-0. Mathis Suray levelled it 50 minutes into the game for Go Ahead, set up by Dean James, to make it 1-1. Milan Zonneveld (an own goal) put Go Ahead in front 60 minutes into the game to make it 2-1. With the 4th goal, Sparta drew level through Lushendry Martes 61 minutes into the game, set up by Isaac Babadi, to make it 2-2. With the 5th goal, Go Ahead restored the lead through Søren Tengstedt 75 minutes into the game, set up by Melle Meulensteen, to make it 3-2. Casper Terho scored the 6th goal for Sparta late on, in the 84th minute as they drew level to make it 3-3. Isaac Babadi (49'), Cedric Hatenboer (59') and Lushendry Martes (81') were booked. Go Ahead are unbeaten in the latest 4 matches of their recorded form. The substitution total for Go Ahead was five. Sparta picked up three yellow cards. The substitution total for Sparta was three. Casper Terho, on in the 62nd minute, scored in minute 84. Across the goals, the lead switched one time.