On file: 31 previous meetings dating to 2010, 61-42 on goals. Last time: 2026, 1-1 in Eredivisie. Currently 1577 against 1521 — a 54.9% / 23.8% / 21.4% split.
xG: 2.00 to 1.76. 2 scorelines clear 8% individually. The three results cover 33.5 points. Attack/defence pairs: 1.27/1.09 and 1.20/1.06. Ratings update at full time; these are the post-match figures. Win-or-lose totals 76.3%; the draw takes the rest. Elo expected shares: 66.7% and 33.3%. Each side owns one half of the argument — Feyenoord the scoring rate at 1.27, AZ the conceding rate at 1.06. A 31.1-point margin separates the top two outcomes. Its rounded call is 1-1. Nothing concentrates: top scoreline 1-1 on 8.2%. Played and finished 2-0. The two ratings differ by 56 points. Both ratings rest on a reasonable base — 35 and 34 rated matches respectively. Relative to the 1500 seed that every rating begins at: +77 and +21. Top of the distribution: Feyenoord, 54.9%. Between them, the home side holds the higher rating.
From our elo-poisson-v1 model. Analysis only, not tips.
Match Report
Before the match
Feyenoord's previous five results comprised three wins, one draw and one defeat. Their goal totals were 18 scored and 8 conceded. Utrecht were their latest opponents, at home on 20 September: a 5-0 win; their biggest win in that spell was 7-0 away to Zwolle on 13 September.
Playing at home against Utrecht (Eredivisie), Feyenoord finished 5-0 on 20 September. Their score comprised five goals, against zero from the opposition. 13 September: Feyenoord won 7-0 against Zwolle away from home in Eredivisie, scoring seven goals and allowing zero. Against Barça in Champions League, Feyenoord scored one and conceded five on 9 September; the away from home result was 1-5. Feyenoord's away from home game on 5 September (Eredivisie) ended 3-1 against NEC, with three goals for and one against. On 30 August, Den Haag faced Feyenoord in Eredivisie: Feyenoord drew 2-2 at home, having scored two and conceded two.
Before kickoff, Eredivisie's results-based standings placed Feyenoord 3rd after seven matches and 17 points.
AZ: four wins and one draw over five games; 12 goals scored, five conceded, unbeaten. Latest: a 1-0 win at home to Telstar on 20 September; their biggest win in that spell was 5-2 at home to Go Ahead on 29 August.
Against Telstar in Eredivisie, AZ scored one and conceded zero on 20 September; the at home result was 1-0. AZ's at home game on 11 September (Eredivisie) ended 1-1 against Willem II, with one goal for and one against. On 6 September, Heerenveen faced AZ in Eredivisie: AZ won 3-2 away from home, having scored three and conceded two. Eredivisie, 29 August brought a home meeting with Go Ahead; AZ won 5-2, a return of five goals scored and two conceded. AZ visited Sittard on 22 August (Eredivisie) and won 2-0; their goals totalled two, compared with zero conceded.
19 points in seven matches put AZ 2nd in the pre-match results-based Eredivisie standings.
Previous meetings in our records: a 1-1 draw at Feyenoord on 10 May and a 3-3 draw at AZ on 21 September 2025.
After the match
Feyenoord beat AZ 2-0 on 10 October 2026. Nacho Ferri opened the scoring inside the first 13 minutes for Feyenoord to make it 1-0. Javi López added to the tally 59 minutes into the game for Feyenoord, set up by Charles Vanhoutte, to make it 2-0. Lewis Schouten (11'), Ro-Zangelo Daal (23'), Oussama Targhalline (45') and Wouter Goes (67') were booked. one yellow card went to Feyenoord. The substitution total for Feyenoord was two. AZ picked up three yellow cards. The substitution total for AZ was three. Feyenoord kept their opponents scoreless.