16 meetings sit in the record, first in 2012, aggregate 22-22. The latest was 2026, 1-4 in Serie A. Currently 1379 against 1475 — a 32.0% / 26.9% / 41.1% split.
Neither component contradicts the other: Torino leads 0.94-0.56 forward and 0.99-1.05 back. 5 of the listed scorelines reach 8% or better. Most weight falls on 0-1 at 15.2%. Ratings shown are post-fixture — one current value is kept per team. 96 points of rating separation. Torino carries the largest share, 41.1%. The three results cover 14.2 points. Torino's expected share on the Elo curve comes to 54.4%. Higher rating: the away side. Final score: 0-3. xG: 0.83 to 1.35. Win-or-lose totals 73.1%; the draw takes the rest. Raw profiles are 0.56 and 1.05 against 0.94 and 0.99. Taken to a single scoreline the model lands on 0-1. Our pre-match read, logged before the game: 43.7% / 26.3% / 30.0%. The result went the other way. A 9.1-point margin separates the top two outcomes. Versus the 1500 seed: -121 and -25. Both ratings rest on a reasonable base — 47 and 47 rated matches respectively.
Our elo-poisson-v1 rating generated these numbers. They are analysis and not advice to bet.
Match Report
Before the match
Parma: one win, one draw and three defeats over five games; four goals scored, nine conceded. Latest: a 3-0 defeat away to Inter on 10 October.
Playing away from home against Inter (Serie A), Parma finished 0-3 on 10 October. Their score comprised zero goals, against three from the opposition. 20 September: Parma won 2-1 against Genoa at home in Serie A, scoring two goals and allowing one. Against Como 1907 in Serie A, Parma scored one and conceded two on 14 September; the away from home result was 1-2. Parma's at home game on 6 September (Serie A) ended 1-1 against Monza, with one goal for and one against. On 1 September, Cremonese faced Parma in Coppa Italia: Parma lost 0-2 at home, having scored zero and conceded two.
four points in six matches put Parma 16th in the pre-match results-based Serie A standings.
Torino came into the game with two wins, one draw and two defeats from their last five outings, scoring five goals and conceding six. On 12 October, Torino recorded a 2-1 win hosting Udinese.
The 12 October fixture (Serie A) paired Torino with Udinese. Torino won 2-1 at home, netting two goals while conceding one. Playing away from home against Bologna (Serie A), Torino finished 1-1 on 19 September. Their score comprised one goal, against one from the opposition. 14 September: Torino lost 0-2 against Roma at home in Serie A, scoring zero goals and allowing two. Against Fiorentina in Serie A, Torino scored two and conceded one on 5 September; the away from home result was 2-1. Torino's at home game on 1 September (Coppa Italia) ended 0-1 against Monza, with zero goals for and one against.
Torino stood 14th in the results-based Serie A table before kickoff, with seven points from six matches.
Previous meetings in our records: a 4-1 home win for Torino on 13 March and a 2-1 home win for Parma on 29 September 2025.
After the match
Torino comfortably beat Parma 3-0 on 19 October 2026. Giovanni Simeone opened the scoring inside the first 4 minutes for Torino, set up by Rafik Belghali, to make it 1-0. Che Adams added to the tally in the 24th minute for Torino to make it 2-0. With the 3rd goal, Torino extended the lead through Giovanni Simeone 69 minutes into the game, set up by Rafik Belghali, to make it 3-0. Diego Carlos (28'), Ardian Ismajli (37'), Sascha Britschgi (54'), Pietro Comuzzo (75') and Mariano Troilo (90') were booked. On our current Elo ratings the gap is a modest one: Torino are 96 points stronger than Parma. Parma picked up three yellow cards. Parma: five substitutions. Torino picked up two yellow cards. The substitution total for Torino was five. Torino kept their opponents scoreless.