On file: 36 previous meetings dating to 2010, 60-25 on goals. Last time: 2026, 2-2 in Serie A. The live ratings are 1578 and 1597, giving 43.4% / 26.4% / 30.2%.
Against the 1500 rating every team starts from, they sit at +78 and +97. These are live ratings — this fixture is already reflected in them. 19 points separate the two ratings — a narrow margin. Both ratings rest on a reasonable base — 55 and 46 rated matches respectively. Broken into parts the two profiles nearly overlap, 1.07 versus 1.04 in attack and 0.81 versus 0.77 at the back. Result on the day: 0-3. Attack/defence pairs: 1.07/0.81 and 1.04/0.77. The distribution runs from 43.4% down to 26.4%. Expected goals 1.23-1.13. A decisive result carries 73.6% against 26.4% for the draw. The away side is rated higher. Nothing concentrates: top scoreline 1-1 on 13.1%. The leading outcome clears the second by 13.2 points. The model's preferred outcome is Juventus at 43.4%. Scorelines above 8%: 5. Its rounded call is 1-1. On the Elo curve, expected shares run 56.6% to 43.4%. Our pre-match read, logged before the game: 53.1% / 24.2% / 22.7%. The match did not follow it.
Figures are our own elo-poisson-v1 output, not a provider feed. Analysis, not betting advice.
Match Report
Before the match
Juventus: two wins, two draws and one defeat over five games; eight goals scored, five conceded. Latest: a 1-1 draw away to Cagliari on 11 October.
Juventus visited Cagliari on 11 October (Serie A) and drew 1-1; their goals totalled one, compared with one conceded. Atalanta travelled to face Juventus (Serie A) on 20 September. For Juventus, the score was 2-0: two goals scored, zero allowed. 2-3 was Juventus's result against Sassuolo on 13 September (Serie A), playing away from home; Juventus lost, with two scored to three conceded. The 6 September fixture (Serie A) paired Juventus with Milan. Juventus drew 1-1 at home, netting one goal while conceding one. Playing at home against Parma (Serie A), Juventus finished 2-0 on 29 August. Their score comprised two goals, against zero from the opposition.
11 points in six matches put Juventus 8th in the pre-match results-based Serie A standings.
Lazio's previous five results comprised four wins and one draw. Their goal totals were 10 scored and 4 conceded, with no defeats. Monza were their latest opponents, at home on 11 October: a 3-1 win.
On 11 October, Monza faced Lazio in Serie A: Lazio won 3-1 at home, having scored three and conceded one. Serie A, 19 September brought an away meeting with Venezia FC; Lazio won 2-0, a return of two goals scored and zero conceded. Lazio hosted Milan on 12 September (Serie A) and drew 2-2; their goals totalled two, compared with two conceded. Udinese hosted Lazio (Serie A) on 7 September. For Lazio, the score was 2-1: two goals scored, one allowed. 1-0 was Lazio's result against Genoa on 30 August (Serie A), playing at home; Lazio won, with one scored to zero conceded.
Before kickoff, Serie A's results-based standings placed Lazio 3rd after six matches and 16 points.
Previous meetings in our records: a 2-2 draw at Juventus on 8 February and a 1-0 home win for Lazio on 26 October 2025.
After the match
Lazio comfortably beat Juventus 3-0 on 18 October 2026. Oliver Nielsen opened the scoring in the 37th minute for Lazio, set up by Mattia Zaccagni, to make it 1-0. Gustav Isaksen added to the tally 66 minutes into the game for Lazio, set up by Nuno Tavares, to make it 2-0. With the 3rd goal, Lazio extended the lead through Fisayo Dele-Bashiru late on, in the 89th minute, set up by Andrea Pinamonti, to make it 3-0. Kenneth Taylor (41') and Mattia Zaccagni (48') were booked. Lazio are unbeaten in the latest 7 matches of their recorded form in the 2025/26 Serie A, the 2026/27 Coppa Italia and the 2026/27 Serie A. five changes were recorded for Juventus. two yellow cards went to Lazio. The substitution total for Lazio was four. After coming on for Lazio in minute 69, Fisayo Dele-Bashiru scored in minute 89. Andrea Pinamonti provided an assist following entry for Lazio in the 69th minute. Lazio kept their opponents scoreless.