On file: 4 previous meetings dating to 2024, 2-12 on goals. Last time: 2026, 0-6 in Serie A. Currently 1472 against 1716 — a 15.4% / 21.7% / 62.9% split.
Ratings here are the model's current values, updated after full time. In absolute terms: Torino 1.00/1.09, Como 1907 1.48/0.67 on attack and defence. Reduced to one result that is 0-2. Outcomes are scattered: top of the list is 0-2 at 10.0%. A 244-point difference on the rating scale. The gap between first and second outcome is 41.2 points, Como 1907 ahead of the draw. A decisive result carries 78.3% against 21.7% for the draw. On the Elo curve, expected shares run 26.3% to 73.7%. Spread across the three results is 47.5 points. Measured from the model's 1500 starting point, the two ratings read -28 and +216. The higher rating belongs to the away side. The match finished 1-3. Expected goals sit at 0.99 against 2.18. Neither component contradicts the other: Como 1907 leads 1.48-1.00 forward and 0.67-1.09 back. 62.9% goes to Como 1907, the model's lean. Before kickoff our model had this at 19.0% / 23.0% / 58.1%. The result went the way that forecast pointed.
Figures are our own elo-poisson-v1 output, not a provider feed. Analysis, not betting advice.
Match Report
Before the match
Torino: three wins, one draw and one defeat over five games; nine goals scored, six conceded. Latest: a 3-2 win at home to Monza on 23 October; their biggest win in that spell was 3-0 away to Parma on 19 October.
Torino hosted Monza on 23 October (Serie A) and won 3-2; their goals totalled three, compared with two conceded. Parma hosted Torino (Serie A) on 19 October. For Torino, the score was 3-0: three goals scored, zero allowed. 2-1 was Torino's result against Udinese on 12 October (Serie A), playing at home; Torino won, with two scored to one conceded. The 19 September fixture (Serie A) paired Torino with Bologna. Torino drew 1-1 away from home, netting one goal while conceding one. Playing at home against Roma (Serie A), Torino finished 0-2 on 14 September. Their score comprised zero goals, against two from the opposition.
Before kickoff, Serie A's results-based standings placed Torino 8th after eight matches and 13 points.
11 goals for and five against accompanied Como 1907's three wins, one draw and one defeat across five outings. On 24 October, Como 1907 recorded a 2-0 win hosting Sassuolo; their biggest win in that spell was 4-1 at home to Man United on 21 October.
Serie A, 24 October brought a home meeting with Sassuolo; Como 1907 won 2-0, a return of two goals scored and zero conceded. Como 1907 hosted Man United on 21 October (Champions League) and won 4-1; their goals totalled four, compared with one conceded. Fiorentina hosted Como 1907 (Serie A) on 18 October. For Como 1907, the score was 3-1: three goals scored, one allowed. 2-3 was Como 1907's result against Feyenoord on 14 October (Champions League), playing away from home; Como 1907 lost, with two scored to three conceded. The 11 October fixture (Serie A) paired Como 1907 with Roma. Como 1907 drew 0-0 at home, netting zero goals while conceding zero.
Como 1907 stood 5th in the results-based Serie A table before kickoff, with 17 points from eight matches.
The last two recorded meetings were a 6-0 home win for Como 1907 on 24 January and a 5-1 away win for Como 1907 on 24 November 2025.
After the match
Como 1907 beat Torino 3-1 on 27 October 2026. Che Adams opened the scoring in the 24th minute for Torino, set up by Kian Fitz-Jim, to make it 1-0. Jacobo Ramón levelled it late on, in the 81st minute for Como 1907, set up by Nico Paz, to make it 1-1. Nico Paz put Como 1907 in front late on, in the 87th minute, set up by Yan Couto, to make it 2-1. Martin Baturina added to the tally in the 92nd minute for Como 1907 to make it 3-1. Rafik Belghali (72') was booked. The rating gap is a clear one: our current Elo ratings have Como 1907 244 points stronger than Torino. 3 gols came after the 80th minute. Como 1907: 62.9% to win this pairing in the model on current ratings; the match ended in their favour. Como 1907's current recorded form ends with 5 consecutive wins in the 2026/27 Champions League and the 2026/27 Serie A. Torino: one yellow card. five changes were recorded for Torino. five changes were recorded for Como 1907. Martin Baturina entered for Como 1907 at 58 minutes and later scored in minute 92. The scoring record shows one lead change. The winners, Como 1907, had been behind.