On record: 7 meetings from 2015, 8-12 on aggregate, 2 drawn. Their most recent was 2024, 0-0 in Serie A. History aside, the live ratings of 1601 and 1460 drive a 66.3% / 20.8% / 12.9% distribution.
These are live ratings — this fixture is already reflected in them. Its rounded call is 2-1. It ended 2-0. Frosinone holds a 45.5-point edge on the next outcome. Both figures rest on decent samples, 144 and 50 matches. The home side is rated higher. Attack and defence disagree about who is favoured: 1.35 to 0.94 says Frosinone, 1.12 to 1.15 says Torino. Most and least likely outcomes are 53.4 points apart. Most likely single result is Frosinone on 66.3%. 141 points of rating separation. 2 scorelines clear 8% individually. The model gives 79.2% to someone winning. The scoreline spread is even — 2-1 on 9.1% leads, but only just. In absolute terms: Frosinone 1.35/1.15, Torino 0.94/1.12 on attack and defence. Every team starts at 1500; these two now sit at +101 and -40. On expected goals the model has it 2.24 against 1.46. On the Elo curve, expected shares run 76.6% to 23.4%.
Figures are our own elo-poisson-v1 output, not a provider feed. Analysis, not betting advice.
Match Report
Before the match
Frosinone's previous five results comprised three wins, one draw and one defeat. Their goal totals were 15 scored and 10 conceded. Lecce were their latest opponents, at home on 29 October: a 5-1 win.
On 29 October, Lecce faced Frosinone in Serie A: Frosinone won 5-1 at home, having scored five and conceded one. Serie A, 25 October brought an away meeting with Atalanta; Frosinone drew 4-4, a return of four goals scored and four conceded. Frosinone hosted Sassuolo on 16 October (Serie A) and won 4-2; their goals totalled four, compared with two conceded. Napoli hosted Frosinone (Serie A) on 10 October. For Frosinone, the score was 0-3: zero goals scored, three allowed. 2-0 was Frosinone's result against Como 1907 on 20 September (Serie A), playing at home; Frosinone won, with two scored to zero conceded.
17 points in nine matches put Frosinone 6th in the pre-match results-based Serie A standings.
Torino: three wins, one draw and one defeat over five games; ten goals scored, seven conceded. Latest: a 3-1 defeat at home to Como 1907 on 27 October; their biggest win in that spell was 3-0 away to Parma on 19 October.
On 27 October, Como 1907 faced Torino in Serie A: Torino lost 1-3 at home, having scored one and conceded three. Serie A, 23 October brought a home meeting with Monza; Torino won 3-2, a return of three goals scored and two conceded. Torino visited Parma on 19 October (Serie A) and won 3-0; their goals totalled three, compared with zero conceded. Udinese travelled to face Torino (Serie A) on 12 October. For Torino, the score was 2-1: two goals scored, one allowed. 1-1 was Torino's result against Bologna on 19 September (Serie A), playing away from home; Torino drew, with one scored to one conceded.
Before kickoff, Serie A's results-based standings placed Torino 10th after nine matches and 13 points.
The last two recorded meetings were a 0-0 draw at Torino on 21 April 2024 and a 0-0 draw at Frosinone on 10 December 2023.
After the match
Frosinone beat Torino 2-0 on 1 November 2026. Farés Ghedjemis opened the scoring 48 minutes into the game for Frosinone, set up by Giorgi Kvernadze, to make it 1-0. Giacomo Calò added to the tally in the 93rd minute for Frosinone, set up by Wisdom Amey, to make it 2-0. Zakaria Aboukhlal (27'), Gvidas Gineitis (33'), Patrizio Masini (62') and Saúl Coco (66') were booked. The rating gap is a clear one: our current Elo ratings have Frosinone 141 points stronger than Torino. Frosinone: 66.3% to win this pairing in the model on current ratings; the match ended in their favour. Frosinone are unbeaten in the latest 4 matches of their recorded form in the 2026/27 Serie A and the 2026/27 Coppa Italia. Frosinone: one yellow card. Frosinone made five changes. Wisdom Amey provided an assist following entry for Frosinone in the 80th minute. Torino: three yellow cards. five changes were recorded for Torino. A clean sheet for Frosinone.