The stalemate is the notable number here: 26.7%, with the wins on 31.3% and 42.0%.
Values shown are current rather than as-at-kickoff. Both figures rest on decent samples, 31 and 35 matches. The match finished 1-1. The higher rating belongs to the away side. Against the 1500 start, the ratings run -95 and +8. The higher rating expects 55.4% of the points, the lower 44.6%. Our pre-match read, logged before the game: 35.8% / 27.9% / 36.3%. That one did not come off. Win-or-lose totals 73.3%; the draw takes the rest. The model's expected-goals figures are 0.99 and 1.34. Scorelines above 8%: 5. Raw profiles are 0.79 and 1.12 against 0.89 and 0.85. On the rating scale the distance between them is wide, at 103 points. Between best and worst outcome there is 15.3 points of daylight. One recorded prior meeting: 2026, 2-4 in Brasileirão Série A. A single result carries no predictive load. Its point estimate is 0-1. A 10.7-point margin separates the top two outcomes. No scoreline stands out; 0-1 only leads on 13.0%. Bragantino carries the largest share, 42.0%. Both components point the same way, toward Bragantino: 0.89 to 0.79 going forward, 0.85 to 1.12 going back.
Our own elo-poisson-v1 figures — analytical, not advisory.
Match Report
Before the match
Clube do Remo: two draws and three defeats over five games; three goals scored, six conceded, without a win. Vasco da Gama were their latest opponents, away on 10 October: a 0-0 draw.
Clube do Remo visited Vasco da Gama on 10 October (Brasileirão Série A) and drew 0-0; their goals totalled zero, compared with zero conceded. Grêmio travelled to face Clube do Remo (Brasileirão Série A) on 7 October. For Clube do Remo, the score was 1-1: one goal scored, one allowed. 1-2 was Clube do Remo's result against Santos on 19 September (Brasileirão Série A), playing at home; Clube do Remo lost, with one scored to two conceded. The 14 September fixture (Brasileirão Série A) paired Clube do Remo with Bahia. Clube do Remo lost 1-2 away from home, netting one goal while conceding two. Playing at home against Flamengo (Brasileirão Série A), Clube do Remo finished 0-1 on 6 September. Their score comprised zero goals, against one from the opposition.
Before kickoff, Brasileirão Série A's results-based standings placed Clube do Remo 19th after 30 matches and 25 points.
seven goals for and seven against accompanied Bragantino's one win, two draws and two defeats across five outings. On 13 October, Bragantino recorded a 4-2 win hosting Cruzeiro.
Cruzeiro travelled to face Bragantino (Brasileirão Série A) on 13 October. For Bragantino, the score was 4-2: four goals scored, two allowed. 1-1 was Bragantino's result against Mirassol on 7 October (Brasileirão Série A), playing at home; Bragantino drew, with one scored to one conceded. The 3 October fixture (Brasileirão Série A) paired Bragantino with Mineiro. Bragantino lost 0-1 away from home, netting zero goals while conceding one. Playing away from home against Flamengo (Brasileirão Série A), Bragantino finished 1-2 on 20 September. Their score comprised one goal, against two from the opposition. 12 September: Bragantino drew 1-1 against Botafogo away from home in Brasileirão Série A, scoring one goal and allowing one.
Bragantino stood 10th in the results-based Brasileirão Série A table before kickoff, with 40 points from 30 matches.
The teams' recorded encounters ended in a 4-2 home win for Bragantino on 19 April.
After the match
Clube do Remo and Bragantino drew 1-1 on 18 October 2026. Lucas Barbosa opened the scoring inside the first 10 minutes for Bragantino to make it 1-0. Jája Silva levelled it 55 minutes into the game for Clube do Remo, set up by Gabriel Taliari, to make it 1-1. Zé Ivaldo (48'), Eric Ramires (64') and Gabriel Taliari (79') were booked. The rating gap is a clear one: our current Elo ratings have Bragantino 103 points stronger than Clube do Remo. Clube do Remo: two yellow cards. Clube do Remo made five changes. Jája Silva scored in minute 55 following entry for Clube do Remo in the 46th minute. The card tally for Bragantino was one yellow card. Bragantino made five changes.