Match Report
Before the match
Bahia came into the game with three wins and two defeats from their last five outings, scoring nine goals and conceding eight. A 1-0 defeat away to Palmeiras (9 October) was their most recent result.
9 October: Bahia lost 0-1 against Palmeiras away from home in Brasileirão Série A, scoring zero goals and allowing one. Against Paranaense in Brasileirão Série A, Bahia scored one and conceded two on 20 September; the away from home result was 1-2. Bahia's at home game on 14 September (Brasileirão Série A) ended 2-1 against Clube do Remo, with two goals for and one against. On 5 September, Bragantino faced Bahia in Brasileirão Série A: Bahia won 3-2 away from home, having scored three and conceded two. Brasileirão Série A, 30 August brought a home meeting with Internacional; Bahia won 3-2, a return of three goals scored and two conceded.
Bahia: 7th, 46 points, 29 matches in the calculated Brasileirão Série A standings at kickoff.
Mirassol: two wins, two draws and one defeat over five games; seven goals scored, six conceded. Bragantino were their latest opponents, away on 7 October: a 1-1 draw.
Mirassol visited Bragantino on 7 October (Brasileirão Série A) and drew 1-1; their goals totalled one, compared with one conceded. Botafogo travelled to face Mirassol (Brasileirão Série A) on 19 September. For Mirassol, the score was 2-0: two goals scored, zero allowed. 2-2 was Mirassol's result against Vitória on 13 September (Brasileirão Série A), playing at home; Mirassol drew, with two scored to two conceded. The 6 September fixture (Brasileirão Série A) paired Mirassol with Coritiba. Mirassol won 2-1 away from home, netting two goals while conceding one. Playing away from home against Flamengo (Brasileirão Série A), Mirassol finished 0-2 on 2 September. Their score comprised zero goals, against two from the opposition.
Before kickoff, Brasileirão Série A's results-based standings placed Mirassol 15th after 29 matches and 33 points.
The teams' recorded encounters ended in a 2-1 away win for Bahia on 11 April.
After the match
Bahia edged past Mirassol 1-0 on 11 October 2026. Luciano Juba opened the scoring from the penalty spot in the 38th minute for Bahia to make it 1-0. Chico (35'), Walter (36'), Jean Lucas (63'), Carlos Eduardo (78') and Neto Moura (90') were booked. On our current Elo ratings the gap is a modest one: Bahia are 85 points stronger than Mirassol. Bahia won; current ratings also favour them in this pairing, with a model probability of 59%. Bahia: one yellow card. Bahia made five changes. four yellow cards went to Mirassol. Mirassol: five substitutions. Carlos Eduardo, on in the 46th minute, was booked. A clean sheet for Bahia.