A 57.8% / 23.0% / 19.1% split off ratings of 1597 and 1455. Both components point the same way, toward Switzerland: 1.09 to 0.98 going forward, 0.85 to 1.15 going back.
Win-or-lose totals 76.9%; the draw takes the rest. Result on the day: 2-0. The venue is neutral, so the usual home adjustment is zeroed out. Switzerland carries the largest share, 57.8%. Its point estimate is 1-1. Ratings update at full time; these are the post-match figures. No scoreline stands out; 1-1 only leads on 11.4%. 4 scorelines clear 8% individually. Algeria: only 4 rated matches. 3,139 places separate them in the global order. On expected goals the model has it 1.68 against 1.13. The three results cover 38.7 points. Ranked against every team the model rates, they sit 391th and 3530th of 4,449. The two ratings differ by 142 points. First to second is a 34.8-point step, Switzerland over the draw. The higher-percentile side clears the top 8.8%; the other the top 79.3%. In absolute terms: Switzerland 1.09/0.85, Algeria 0.98/1.15 on attack and defence.
elo-poisson-v1 output, computed in-house. Not betting advice.