On record: 2 meetings from 2018, 1-0 on aggregate, 1 drawn. Their most recent was 2021, 1-0 in Friendlies. Set beside that history, the ratings stand at 1553 and 1501 — 52 points — for a 54.3% / 23.9% / 21.8% split.
Values shown are current rather than as-at-kickoff. 2 of the listed scorelines reach 8% or better. Top of the distribution: USA, 54.3%. A 30.4-point margin separates the top two outcomes. 76.1% of the probability sits on a decisive outcome. The higher-rated side expects 66.2% of the points; the other side 33.8%. Played and finished 2-0. In absolute terms: USA 1.38/0.95, Bosnia-H. 1.01/0.98 on attack and defence. The two ratings differ by 52 points. Outcomes span 32.5 points. Nothing concentrates: top scoreline 2-1 on 9.6%. The home side is rated higher. Rounded, that is 2-1. From the 1500 baseline they currently stand at +53 and +1. With 9 and 8 rated matches apiece, both numbers are on solid ground. xG: 2.01 to 1.29. Both components point the same way, toward USA: 1.38 to 1.01 going forward, 0.95 to 0.98 going back.
elo-poisson-v1 output, computed in-house. Not betting advice.
Match Report
Before the match
USA came into the game with three wins and two defeats from their last five outings, scoring 12 goals and conceding eight. On 26 June, USA recorded a 3-2 defeat visiting Turkey; their biggest win in that spell was 4-1 at home to Paraguay on 13 June.
Turkey hosted USA (World Cup) on 26 June. For USA, the score was 2-3: two goals scored, three allowed. 2-0 was USA's result against Australia on 19 June (World Cup), playing at home; USA won, with two scored to zero conceded. The 13 June fixture (World Cup) paired USA with Paraguay. USA won 4-1 at home, netting four goals while conceding one. Playing at home against Germany (International Friendlies), USA finished 1-2 on 6 June. Their score comprised one goal, against two from the opposition. 31 May: USA won 3-2 against Senegal at home in International Friendlies, scoring three goals and allowing two.
Bosnia-H. came into the game with one win, three draws and one defeat from their last five outings, scoring six goals and conceding seven. A 3-1 win at home to Qatar (24 June) was their most recent result.
24 June: Bosnia-H. won 3-1 against Qatar at home in World Cup, scoring three goals and allowing one. Against Switzerland in World Cup, Bosnia-H. scored one and conceded four on 18 June; the away from home result was 1-4. Bosnia-H.'s away from home game on 12 June (World Cup) ended 1-1 against Canada, with one goal for and one against. On 6 June, Panama faced Bosnia-H. in International Friendlies: Bosnia-H. drew 1-1 away from home, having scored one and conceded one. International Friendlies, 29 May brought a home meeting with FYR Macedonia; Bosnia-H. drew 0-0, a return of zero goals scored and zero conceded.
After the match
USA beat Bosnia-H. 2-0 at Levi's Stadium, San Francisco Bay Area on 2 July 2026. Folarin Balogun opened the scoring in the 45th minute for USA to make it 1-0. Malik Tillman added to the tally late on, in the 82nd minute for USA to make it 2-0. Folarin Balogun (64') was sent off. Sergej Barbarez (80') and Stjepan Radeljić (81') were booked. USA's current recorded form ends with 4 consecutive wins in the 2026 International Friendlies and the 2026 World Cup. Bosnia-H. are unbeaten in the latest 4 matches of their recorded form in the 2026 International Friendlies, the 2026 World Cup and the 2026 UEFA Nations League. one red card went to USA. The substitution total for USA was three. Bosnia-H. picked up two yellow cards. Bosnia-H.: five substitutions. USA kept their opponents scoreless.