Panama has 3 rated matches behind their rating — thin. The split reads 44.2% / 26.2% / 29.6%.
Ghana is ahead on each half — 0.86 to 0.83 in attack, 0.91 to 1.00 in defence. Ghana leads the distribution by 14.6 points over Panama. Ratings shown are post-fixture — one current value is kept per team. Win-or-lose totals 73.8%; the draw takes the rest. Taken to a single scoreline the model lands on 1-1. On expected goals the model has it 1.16 against 1.02. A 52-point difference on the rating scale. Neutral venue — the home-advantage term is set aside. Global standing: 2878 and 4052 of 4,449. The Panama figure is drawn from 3 rated matches — thin enough that one result would move it. Ghana carries the largest share, 44.2%. It ended 1-0. 1,174 places separate them in the global order. Raw profiles are 0.86 and 0.91 against 0.83 and 1.00. Top 64.7% against top 91.1% on percentile. The distribution runs from 44.2% down to 26.2%. Scorelines above 8%: 4. The scoreline spread is even — 1-1 on 13.4% leads, but only just.
Produced in-house by elo-poisson-v1 over full match history. Analysis, not tips.