They have 2 previous meetings dating to 1950, 2-2 on goals. Last time: 1990, 0-0 in World Cup. History aside, the live ratings of 1487 and 1784 drive a 6.5% / 17.6% / 75.9% distribution.
Spain leads the distribution by 58.3 points over the draw. Most likely single result is Spain on 75.9%. 82.4% of the probability sits on a decisive outcome. Most and least likely outcomes are 69.4 points apart. Its point estimate is 0-1. Result on the day: 0-1. The model keeps one current rating per side, so these include this match. The ranking gap is 2,065 positions. The rating gap itself is 297 points, which is wide by the model's standards. Attack/defence pairs: 0.95/1.00 and 1.19/0.53. Goal expectation splits 0.69 to 1.61. Spain holds both halves of the profile — 1.19 against 0.95 for scoring, 0.53 against 1.00 for conceding, where the lower number is the better one. Percentile-wise: top 1.6% versus top 48.0%. Played on neutral ground, so no home bump applies. Only 3 rated matches back the Uruguay figure. Of the 4,449 teams carrying a rating, these two are 2134th and 69th.
All of the above is elo-poisson-v1 output built from complete results. Not betting advice.