Both components point the same way, toward Switzerland: 1.09 to 0.98 going forward, 0.85 to 1.10 going back. On rating it is 1597 against 1471, which the model resolves to 55.5% / 23.6% / 20.9%.
Switzerland holds a 31.9-point edge on the next outcome. Expected goals 1.62-1.13. The venue is neutral, so the usual home adjustment is zeroed out. Worth noting the base: only 4 rated matches sit behind Bosnia-H.'s number. 126 points separate the two ratings — a wide margin. By share of the rated field: 8.8% and 68.6%. In absolute terms: Switzerland 1.09/0.85, Bosnia-H. 0.98/1.10 on attack and defence. Outcomes span 34.6 points. Final score: 4-1. No scoreline stands out; 1-1 only leads on 11.7%. 4 of the listed scorelines reach 8% or better. Most likely single result is Switzerland on 55.5%. The single-scoreline output is 1-1. Someone wins 76.4% of the time by this model. Worldwide they stand at 391 and 3052 among 4,449 rated sides. Values shown are current rather than as-at-kickoff. 2,661 places separate them in the global order.
Our elo-poisson-v1 rating generated these numbers. They are analysis and not advice to bet.