Form first: Recorded sample: 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats in 10, at 0.8 points per game, 11 for and 15 against. That supports a current rating of 1473.
3 consecutive defeats close the sample. Across their last 1 matches in our records, all competitions included, that is 1.00 goals a game with 2.00 conceded. In our record of their last 1 games across competitions, no shutout has come in 1 matches. Narrowing the records to five matches gives 1 win against 3 losses. Attack reads 0.93, defence 1.04 — remembering that a smaller defensive figure is the stronger one. That puts their expected points share against the field-average side at about 35.5%. Against competition average across 45 teams — 104 points below on rating, scores 0.15 below on scoring, concedes 0.02 above on conceding. That works out at 1.10 scored and 1.50 conceded per match over the sample. The recorded comparison window opens in 2025. It is the defensive half that accounts for most of their margin over average. On goals they are -4 across the period. Against the 1500 seed they sit 27 points below.
Rating history is accumulating; a chart would be premature.
These are elo-poisson-v1 figures computed in-house from every recorded result.